| Year | Projected Field | Which Means... |
|
2008 |
Changeling The Curious Case of Benjamin Button The Dark Knight Frost/Nixon Gran Torino Milk The Reader Slumdog Millionaire WALL•E The Wrestler |
On balance, a handy improvement! Closer, but still no cigar for Doubt, Frozen River, Iron Man, Rachel Getting Married, Revolutionary Road, Tropic Thunder, Vicky Cristina Barcelona, The Visitor |
|
2007 |
American Gangster Atonement The Bourne Ultimatum The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Into the Wild Juno Michael Clayton No Country for Old Men Sweeney Todd There Will Be Blood |
About the same, and in the context of an already above-par year, that's a good thing Closer, but still no cigar for 3:10 to Yuma, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, Away from Her, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead, Charlie Wilson's War, Eastern Promises, Hairspray, I'm Not There, In the Valley of Elah, The Kite Runner, Ratatouille, Zodiac |
|
2006 |
Babel Blood Diamond The Departed The Devil Wears Prada Dreamgirls Letters from Iwo Jima Little Miss Sunshine Pan's Labyrinth The Pursuit of Happyness The Queen |
Still mediocre, but a tad more interesting Closer, but still no cigar for Bobby, Borat, Cars, Casino Royale, Children of Men, Flags of Our Fathers, The Good Shepherd, Happy Feet, The History Boys, The Illusionist, An Inconvenient Truth, The Last King of Scotland, Little Children, Notes on a Scandal, The Prestige, United 93, Volver |
|
2005 |
Brokeback Mountain Capote Cinderella Man Crash Good Night, and Good Luck. King Kong Memoirs of a Geisha Munich Pride & Prejudice Walk the Line |
About the same, a bit more "studio"... but I do think Brokeback would
have won with more vote-splitting among its detractors, and I still would
have thought Capote and Munich had barely squeaked in there. Closer, but still no cigar for The 40-Year-Old Virgin Batman Begins, Caché, The Constant Gardener, A History of Violence, Jarhead, March of the Penguins, Match Point, The New World, Syriana |
|
2004 |
The Aviator Collateral Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Finding Neverland Hotel Rwanda Million Dollar Baby The Passion of the Christ The Phantom of the Opera Ray Sideways |
Better and worse, but I'd love to know whether Passion and
Fahrenheit even figured into the top ten among AMPAS' favorites,
and I think Vera Drake is exactly the kind of movie that might have scored
among directors, writers, and actors, and still missed a BP nod. Closer, but still no cigar for The Bourne Supremacy, Closer, Fahrenheit 9/11, Garden State, The Incredibles, Kinsey, Lemony Snicket, Maria Full of Grace, The Motorcycle Diaries, Napoleon Dynamite, The Sea Inside, Shrek 2, Vera Drake, A Very Long Engagement |
|
2003 |
City of God Cold Mountain Finding Nemo In America The Last Samurai The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King Lost in Translation Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World Mystic River Seabiscuit |
I wouldn't have been excited per se, but wide-open spots for a non-English and
an animated title... and completely feasible upsets for stuff like Station
Agent, given how well it did at SAG. Closer, but still no cigar for 21 Grams, American Splendor, Bend It Like Beckham, Big Fish, Dirty Pretty Things, The Fog of War, House of Sand and Fog, Love Actually, Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl, Something's Gotta Give, The Station Agent, Whale Rider |
|
2002 |
About a Boy About Schmidt Catch Me If You Can Chicago Gangs of New York The Hours The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers My Big Fat Greek Wedding The Pianist Road to Perdition |
A downgrade, especially because I don't think Far from Heaven or Director
nominee Talk to Her are really next in line here; even if one of the
Abouts misses, I think Spider-Man and even Adaptation, maybe
even Minority Report and Frida were in better spots to step in. Closer, but still no cigar for Adaptation., Barbershop, The Bourne Identity, Bowling for Columbine, Far from Heaven, Frida, Ice Age, Minority Report, Monsoon Wedding, Punch-Drunk Love, The Quiet American, Rabbit-Proof Fence, Spider-Man, Spirited Away, Talk to Her, Y tu mamá también |
|
2001 |
Amélie A Beautiful Mind Black Hawk Down Gosford Park Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone In the Bedroom The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring Moulin Rouge! Ocean's Eleven Shrek |
A downgrade overall, but with higher "high"s than this list usually allows.
I can't imagine the Lynch film scoring up top despite the Director nod,
and (as with Doubt) I don't think all those Iris acting nods necessarily
mean a BP nod, either. Closer, but still no cigar for A.I., Ali, Bridget Jones's Diary, Ghost World, Iris, Legally Blonde, Memento, Monster's Ball, Monsters, Inc., Mulholland Drive, The Others, The Royal Tenenbaums, The Shipping News, Vanilla Sky |
|
2000 |
Almost Famous Billy Elliot Cast Away Chocolat Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Erin Brockovich Gladiator O Brother, Where Art Thou? Quills Traffic |
About even. I still would have wondered how Chocolat got in here,
and how Wonder Boys didn't. Closer, but still no cigar for Before Night Falls, Chicken Run, Dancer in the Dark, The Patriot, The Perfect Storm, Pollock, Requiem for a Dream, State and Main, Sunshine, Thirteen Days, Wonder Boys, X-Men, You Can Count on Me |
|
1999 |
American Beauty Being John Malkovich The Cider House Rules The Green Mile The Hurricane The Insider The Matrix The Sixth Sense The Talented Mr. Ripley Topsy-Turvy |
A notable improvement, though almost anything would be... and I don't think that
a doubled list would have opened the floodgates to all the most exciting "rebel"
contenders, since there were still some Hurricanes sliding around. Closer, but still no cigar for All About My Mother, The Blair Witch Project, Boys Don't Cry, Cradle Will Rock, Election, The End of the Affair, Fight Club, Magnolia, Man on the Moon, Run Lola Run, Sleepy Hollow, The Straight Story, The Thomas Crown Affair, Three Kings, Toy Story 2 |
| 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 |
|
Elizabeth Gods and Monsters Life Is Beautiful Out of Sight Pleasantville Saving Private Ryan Shakespeare in Love The Thin Red Line The Truman Show Waking Ned Devine or maybe... Bulworth, A Civil Action, The Horse Whisperer, Primary Colors, The Prince of Egypt, A Simple Plan |
Amistad As Good As It Gets Boogie Nights The Full Monty Good Will Hunting Kundun L.A. Confidential Titanic Wag the Dog The Wings of the Dove or maybe... Air Force One, Contact, The Ice Storm, Men in Black, Mrs. Brown, The Sweet Hereafter |
The English Patient Evita Fargo Hamlet Jerry Maguire Lone Star The People vs. Larry Flynt Secrets & Lies Shine Sling Blade or maybe... The Birdcage, Breaking the Waves, Courage Under Fire, The Crucible, Everyone Says I Love You, Ghosts of Mississippi, Ransom, A Time to Kill, When We Were Kings |
The American President Apollo 13 Babe Braveheart The Bridges of Madison County Dead Man Walking Leaving Las Vegas Il Postino Sense and Sensibility Toy Story or maybe... 12 Monkeys, Casino, Get Shorty, Heat, Mr. Holland's Opus, Nixon, The Usual Suspects |
| 1994 | 1993 | 1992 | 1991 |
|
Bullets over Broadway Forrest Gump Four Weddings and a Funeral Hoop Dreams Legends of the Fall The Lion King The Madness of King George Pulp Fiction Quiz Show The Shawshank Redemption or maybe... Ed Wood, Little Women, Nell, Nobody's Fool, Speed, Three Colors: Red |
The Age of Innocence Dave The Fugitive In the Line of Fire In the Name of the Father Philadelphia The Piano The Remains of the Day Schindler's List Short Cuts or maybe... Farewell My Concubine, The Joy Luck Club, Jurassic Park, Like Water for Chocolate, Mrs. Doubtfire, Shadowlands, Sleepless in Seattle |
Aladdin The Crying Game A Few Good Men Howards End The Last of the Mohicans Malcolm X The Player A River Runs through It Scent of a Woman Unforgiven or maybe... Bram Stoker's Dracula, Chaplin, Enchanted April, Hoffa, Husbands and Wives, A League of Their Own, Lorenzo's Oil |
Beauty and the Beast Boyz N the Hood Bugsy The Fisher King Grand Canyon JFK The Prince of Tides The Silence of the Lambs Terminator 2: Judgment Day Thelma & Louise or maybe... Barton Fink, City Slickers, Fried Green Tomatoes, Hear My Song, Rambling Rose |
| 1990 | 1989 | 1988 | 1987 |
|
Avalon Awakenings Cyrano de Bergerac Dances with Wolves Dick Tracy Ghost The Godfather, Part III GoodFellas The Grifters Reversal of Fortune or maybe... Alice, Edward Scissorhands, Green Card, The Hunt for Red October, Mr. & Mrs. Bridge, Pretty Woman |
Born on the Fourth of July Crimes and Misdemeanors Dead Poets Society Do the Right Thing Driving Miss Daisy Field of Dreams Glory Henry V My Left Foot When Harry Met Sally... or maybe... Batman, The Bear, Cinema Paradiso, Enemies, a Love Story, The Fabulous Baker Boys, The Little Mermaid, Parenthood, Roger & Me, sex, lies, and videotape |
The Accidental Tourist Big Bull Durham Dangerous Liaisons A Fish Called Wanda Gorillas in the Mist Mississippi Burning Rain Man Who Framed Roger Rabbit? Working Girl or maybe... Bird, A Cry in the Dark, Die Hard, The Last Temptation of Christ, Running on Empty, The Thin Blue Line, Tucker: The Man and His Dream, The Unbearable Lightness of Being |
Au revoir, les enfants Broadcast News Cry Freedom Empire of the Sun Fatal Attraction Good Morning, Vietnam Hope and Glory The Last Emperor Moonstruck The Untouchables or maybe... The Dead, Full Metal Jacket, Ironweed, Lethal Weapon, Matewan, My Life as a Dog, The Princess Bride, Radio Days, Roxanne, Wall Street |
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